What We Do

Agentic AI that _

Built for the age of agentic finance: AI that understands cause and effect, explains every decision, and adapts in real time.

Gen AI
Active Inference is a probabilistic AI method: it builds an explicit model of the world, updates it with every new observation, and explains every decision through that same model. No black boxes. No retraining.
Why Now

How will you invest when billions of AI agents compete against you?

$53B
MarketsandMarkets
AI agents market by 2030. Agents are transforming coding, materials, and biosciences. Finance is next — master agents that learn, explain, and discover, or be displaced.
1.3B
Microsoft
AI agents deployed by 2028. Every major asset class will be traded, analyzed, and risk-managed by autonomous agents that adapt in real time.
2026
European Union
EU AI Act compliance deadline. Financial AI is classified as high-risk — mandating explainability and audit trails. Active Inference is designed to support compliance with both the EU AI Act and the NIST AI Risk Management Framework.
The Approach

The full investment process, automated. Explainable, causal AI agents — from discovery to execution.

Probabilistic Generative Model

  • Builds an explicit model of market dynamics — not a black box
  • Maintains inspectable beliefs at every decision step
  • Knows what it doesn't know

Embedded Risk Management

  • Risk enters every decision — not measured after the fact
  • Automatically steps back when uncertainty is too high
  • No separate risk engine needed

Thermodynamic Efficiency

  • Measures return per unit of information processed
  • Lower turnover and greater stability by design
  • Connects portfolio performance to information theory

Causal by Design

  • Separates endogenous from exogenous signals — no other AI does this
  • Markets are uncertain and noisy by nature. We don't suppress that uncertainty — we compute with it.
  • Built on physics-based principles of thermodynamics and Bayesian learning
  • Every other system corrupts itself. We don't.

Where others see noise, we see information waiting to be resolved.

Expected Free Energy Minimization
The Problem

AI in finance is trained on the past, blind to market psychology, and is unable to explain itself.

Black-Box LLMs
Opaque actions inhibit repeatable strategies and fail regulatory scrutiny. No audit trail, no accountability — just outputs no one can explain.
Risk Separation
Risk and investments use different models and management. Decisions and risk are never unified — creating blind spots at precisely the moments that matter most.
Static Models
Unable to change without costly retraining and integration challenges with each new version. When markets shift, static models fail silently — often catastrophically.
BLACK-BOX LLMS
Core Principle
G(π) = −what we gain + what we learn

Every decision balances two goals simultaneously: what we gain drives the agent toward returns and goal attainment, while what we learn drives it toward reducing uncertainty before committing capital. Classic financial models only optimize the first term — and ignore the second entirely.

Novel Metric
ESR = excess return / information processed
Annualized excess return per bit of informational work

The Entropic Sharpe Ratio measures how efficiently a strategy converts belief updates into risk-adjusted returns. Where the traditional Sharpe Ratio captures return per unit of volatility, the ESR captures return per unit of informational work — connecting portfolio performance to the thermodynamics of decision-making. Strategies that generate high returns with minimal belief dissipation are informationally efficient.

Bridging AI with the financial world._

Why Current AI Falls Short

Every other AI predicts the market.
Fintropic understands it.

Standard AI — from large language models to deep learning — is trained on historical data. When markets change, it fails silently. When it trades, it can't separate what the market did from what its own actions caused. And it can never explain why.

Large Language Models
ChatGPT, Claude, BloombergGPT, FinGPT
  • Trained on past data — can't adapt as markets change in real time
  • Cannot explain individual decisions to regulators or clients
  • Has no concept of risk — it predicts, it doesn't protect
Deep Reinforcement Learning
Numerai, Reflexivity, hedge fund quants
  • Learns from its own trades — corrupts its own understanding of the market
  • Black-box decisions — no audit trail, no accountability
  • Performance collapses during exactly the moments that matter most
Fintropic — Active Inference
Built different, from the ground up
  • Learns continuously from market signals — never needs retraining
  • Every decision comes with a full explanation before execution
  • Risk management is built into every decision — not bolted on after
Causal AI
The vast majority of AI systems on the market learn from correlation — what tends to happen together. Fintropic is built on causal reasoning: it understands what causes what. When it trades, it never confuses its own actions with market signals. That’s the difference between a system that fails under pressure and one that holds.
Peer-Reviewed Research

The science behind the system

Our methodology has been independently validated by the scientific community and published in peer-reviewed journals. The framework is not a proprietary black box — it is an open, auditable architecture grounded in thermodynamics, information theory, and causal inference.
Live Demo

See the adaptive inference engine in action

Adaptive Inference Agent Engine — Alpha Release. Real-time regime detection, confidence gating, and belief dynamics visualization on live market data.

Transparent, auditable, and thermodynamically efficient — built for institutional trust.

Entropic Sharpe Ratio · Excess Return per Bit
Compliance
Our framework is built around interpretability, explainability, and transparency — the three pillars required by both the EU AI Act (financial AI classified as high-risk) and the NIST AI Risk Management Framework. Every decision decomposes into auditable beliefs, priors, and free energy components. No black boxes.
Applications

Where adaptive causal inference meets institutional practice

Portfolio Management

Unified inference-control loop for single and multi-asset allocation. Regime-aware position sizing with built-in risk management. No separate risk engine required.

Regulatory Compliance

Full decision trace decomposition satisfies EU AI Act transparency requirements. Every trade decomposes into inspectable beliefs, expected free energy components, and confidence gates.

Risk Analytics

Entropy-based diagnostics replace backward-looking VaR. The Entropic Sharpe Ratio quantifies informational efficiency. Regime-conditional performance attribution is native to the framework.

Asset Valuation

Traditional finance — from Black-Scholes to DCF — is built on association: what has tended to happen. Fintropic evaluates policies under interventional distributions: what will happen if we trade. That distinction is the difference between a model that fails when regimes shift and one that holds.

Scientific Discovery Engine

AI-driven discovery of novel investment factors through scientific agents.

We don't just build adaptive agents — we design them using autonomous scientific discovery. Leveraging SciAgents (Ghafarollahi & Buehler, Advanced Materials, 2025), multi-agent swarms explore vast knowledge graphs to uncover novel observation modalities, risk factors, and investment signals that human researchers would never think to combine.

01

Discover

Swarms of scientific agents traverse ontological knowledge graphs — connecting disparate domains from macroeconomics to supply chain dynamics to geopolitical signals — to identify novel investment factors with genuine predictive power.

02

Design

Discovered factors become observation modalities in the agent's POMDP architecture. SciAgents configure the likelihood matrices, transition dynamics, and preference structures — automating the research process that traditionally requires teams of quants.

03

Deploy

The designed agents are deployed with full transparency: every factor, every matrix, every belief traces back to an auditable discovery chain. From hypothesis to portfolio, the entire pipeline is autonomous, interpretable, and continuously evolving.

“Genuine discovery emerges from multi-agent interaction — adapting and co-creating through adversarial reasoning, shared memory, and in-situ learning.”
— Inspired by SciAgents (Buehler Lab, MIT)
Founding Team

Built by operators, researchers, and pioneers.

Matthew Moroney
Matthew Moroney
Chief Executive Officer
  • Founded fintech startup (Techstars, acquired 2024)
  • Masters from Yale University
  • UNIDO / GEF Accelerator Director
John Clippinger
John Clippinger, Ph.D
Executive Chairman
  • Pioneer in multi-agent AI at MIT AI & Media Lab
  • Serial Entrepreneur
  • Harvard Law School, Berkman Center
  • World Economic Forum Global Advisory Council
Samuel Montanez
Samuel Montañez, Ph.D
Chief Economist
  • Ph.D researcher AI & Computational Finance
  • Professor of Finance
  • Head of Learning, GBM Investments ($70B AUM)
Board / Advisors

Supported by innovators, entrepreneurs, and scientists.

Thomas Farb-Horch
Thomas Farb-Horch
Advisor
7 multi-billion dollar exits including creating FICO scores. GP, private equity & VC. CEO, Thrive Bioscience.
Vadim Toader
Vadim Toader
Advisor
AI-exited founder (+$150M). Forbes 30 Under 30. Bain, Google ML incubator. M.Eng. Oxford University.
Michael I. Miller
Michael I. Miller, Ph.D
Scientific Advisor
Chairman, Johns Hopkins Bioengineering. Expert in stochastic inference and statistics. Professor of Computational Anatomy.
Fernando Reyes
Fernando Reyes
Scientific Advisor
Physicist, Masters in Asset Management, Yale. Research Associate, Yale Center for International Finance.
Contact

Let’s talk about
agentic finance._

Whether you’re an asset manager, family office, or researcher — we’d love to hear from you.

[email protected] · +1.801.755.2268